Reporters learned from the four four session of the China Chemical Fiber Association recently held that the growth rate of China's chemical fiber industry will slow down this year as the global economic growth rate slows down, the international crude oil prices continue to rise, and the national macroeconomic regulation and control strengthened. The output growth will decline slightly. The annual output will reach 27 million tons, an increase of 13% over the same period last year. The economic efficiency is expected to reach 13 billion ~150 billion yuan, unchanged or slightly lower than the same period last year, and the whole industry will maintain a healthy and steady development trend.

China's chemical fiber industry is closely related to the world economy. The trend of the world economy has an important impact on its development.

The UN's 2008 world economic situation and Outlook report predicts that the world economic growth rate will drop to 3.4% in 2008, and that the main export markets of China's chemical fiber products, such as the United States, Japan and the EU, will all be lower than the level of 2007 due to their economic growth. This will definitely affect the export and market demand of China's chemical fiber products to a large extent.

At the same time, the intensity of the national macroeconomic regulation and control has been strengthened, coupled with the adjustment of the RMB exchange rate and export policy, the growth rate of China's chemical fiber exports will decrease significantly in 2008, and the total export volume is expected to reach 2 million tons, an increase of about 30% over the same period last year, a marked decline compared with the growth rate of nearly 50% last year.

The Council believes that the current high oil prices will increase the cost of chemical fiber raw materials for a long time.

Since 2008, the international crude oil price has exceeded 100 US dollars / barrel for many times. Since March, it has maintained a high level of around us $100 per barrel, thus forming the trend that the prices of all kinds of raw materials of synthetic fiber continue to run high this year, and there is a great pressure to continue rising.

Due to the high price of synthetic fiber materials, the price of synthetic fiber products will also run high. Viscose fiber is not expected to rise sharply in 2008 due to the large increase in the previous period, but the market price of viscose fiber will remain high this year under the support of high raw material prices.

Although the growth rate of fixed assets investment in China's chemical fiber industry has been controlled in 2007, the new capacity has still had a great impact on the market operation this year, and the pressure of some chemical fiber varieties with excess capacity is still relatively large, so that the balance between supply and demand of the market is affected.

At the same time, the R & D investment of China's chemical fiber industry is still quite insufficient, and the enterprise's innovation ability is weak. Especially in high-tech fiber research and development, energy saving and emission reduction, there is still a big gap compared with the developed level abroad, which is also the main problem facing the chemical fiber industry.

In this regard, Zheng Zhiyi, President of China Chemical Fiber Association, stressed that changing the mode of economic growth is an inevitable requirement for China's economic development, and it is also an urgent task for the development of China's chemical fiber industry.

In 11th Five-Year and even for a long time to come, the fundamental task of the development of the chemical fiber industry will be to comprehensively promote technological progress, strengthen energy conservation and emission reduction, and accelerate industrial upgrading under the globalization situation.

The Council also announced that, with the approval of relevant state departments, the chemical fiber industry association of China was officially renamed the China Chemical Fiber Association, and the chairman of the association was renamed the president of the association.

It is reported that the renaming of the association is mainly aimed at meeting the needs of diversified development of the market economy and improving the service function of the association.

//cn.jxmm