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Overseas Stock Repurchase Intensity Weakened &Nbsp; Exports Will Be Higher Before And After Low (Two)

2010/7/3 10:57:00 69

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China

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Will be "high before and after low"


Chen Wei, a national securities analyst, pointed out that in the second half of the year, China's export growth will face a big challenge in the case of a significant slowdown in global economic growth in the second half. In particular, exports to the European Union will fall sharply, but considering the European Union's economic downturn is a gradual process, exports will not encounter the 2008 avalanche fall.


In May 2010, China's foreign trade grew by 48.5% in the past 40 months, but many analysts believe that China's foreign trade growth has peaked.

Wei Jianguo, Secretary General of the China International Economic Exchange Center, pointed out that the EU debt crisis is still fermented by the main trading partners, and the effect of the superposition of the policy of exchange rate and export tax rebate adjustment will appear in the three quarter. In 2010, China's foreign trade situation is very unoptimistic. It is expected that in 2010, the Mao Yishun gap will drop to less than 100 billion dollars.


From the China Securities Daily reporters to the Yangtze River Delta, the Pearl River Delta and other export enterprises to understand the situation, many electronic and clothing enterprises in the labor and raw material prices, the profits have been significantly reduced to less than 3%.


Wei Jianguo said that the abolition of export tax rebates is aimed at restraining the export of products of two high and one capital, but in the long run, a long-term and stable export tax rebate mechanism should be established to give enterprises a clear expectation.


Mei Xinyu, a researcher at the Ministry of Commerce of the Ministry of Commerce, pointed out that to expand the cross-border trade RMB settlement experiment, it is a good thing for capital intensive export enterprises.

For a complete set of equipment exports, a project often takes several years. If exchange rate changes are large, exchange rate risks and even losses will exist.

If RMB is settled, there will be no exchange rate risk.

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