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Development Trend And Forecast Of International And Domestic Printing And Dyeing Industry In The Second Half Year

2010/8/17 20:24:00 56

International situation

Economies such as the US, Europe, Japan and other economies

Unemployment

The rate is still high, in May, the United States,

Japan

and

Euro

The unemployment rate in the region is 9.7%, 5.2% and 10% respectively, which are all at a higher level. The purchasing power of consumers has not recovered substantially, and the growth of exports is mainly reflected by the replenishment effect.

At present, the European and American economies are facing a lot of downside risks. Both European and American stock growth and orders growth are showing signs of slowing down.

The outbreak of the EU debt crisis has made euro zone countries reduce expenditure and cut consumption. At the same time, the depreciation of the euro forced the passive appreciation of the renminbi, which will affect China's exports.

The EU debt crisis has slowed the recovery of the EU and even the global economy. It shows that there are many worries about the global economic recovery, and the economic stimulus measures since the major economies in the world are considering or considering withdrawal from the financial crisis, the export uncertainty has increased in the second half of the year.

Domestic situation

The rising cost of raw materials, the rising cost of labor and the rising environmental costs have become an inevitable trend, and the pressure of enterprise production costs continues to increase.

The expectation of RMB appreciation is a threat to textile exports, which will lead to the loss of export orders, the decrease in foreign exchange settlement and the decline in profits, which will slow down the recovery of exports and intensify competition in domestic markets.

In addition, there are still some inflationary pressures in our country.

Since the beginning of this year, China's macroeconomic stimulus policy has gradually withdrawn. In view of the current economic growth showing a trend of callback, the withdrawal process of the economic stimulus policy in the second half of this year is expected to slow down. The government will implement the policy of "stable finance and tight money", on the one hand, maintain the continuity of fiscal policy, and on the other hand, tighten monetary policy step by step.

Development trend

With the slowdown of global economic growth and the growth of China's economic growth, the growth rate of printing and dyeing industry will slow down in the second half of 2010, but it will remain at a high level.

It is estimated that the annual output growth of printing and dyeing enterprises above Designated Size will be 10%, the total industrial output value will increase by 17%, and the profit growth rate will be 35%. The export growth in the second half of this year will face greater challenges, and the pace of export recovery will slow down. It is estimated that the annual export will maintain a growth rate of 10% to 12%.

Industry development is facing the challenge of complex situation at home and abroad. It is urgent to change the mode of economic development.

Printing and dyeing enterprises should speed up the pace of pformation and structural adjustment, improve the quality and efficiency of economic growth, and gradually achieve high efficiency, high quality, low carbon and brand internationalization by relying on scientific and technological progress and scientific and technological innovation.