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Cotton Prices Skyrocketed, And Forecasters Should Learn From Foreign Experience.

2010/11/2 13:52:00 89

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Cotton planting in recent years

Situation

Looking at it, it is difficult to get rid of the strange cycle of "annual fluctuation", such as "price rise, income increase, area increase, price decline, income reduction, area reduction and price rise again", which has also caused many economic losses to cotton growers.

In this regard, as a guide for farmers planting information prediction institutions how to improve the working methods?

Zhang Zhancang said he had studied information forecasting work abroad.

He found that in Japan, the United States and other developed countries, information prediction is a very important job, but unlike ours, their prediction work is not implemented by the government, but by social intermediary agencies.

For every important agricultural product, there are at least 3 intermediaries.

mechanism

To study and finally publish research results to guide farmers' planting.

For a long time, the farmers will respect the opinions of the organization on which kind of agricultural products are more authoritative in forecasting information.

At the same time, because many research institutes have made many predictions, farmers have wide selectivity and can make comparisons.

Zhang Zhancang recommends that information forecasting departments should update research tools and research methods, and information forecasting agencies should integrate with experts so that experts can participate in it, so that the prediction results will be more scientific.

"We can also establish a cotton purchase and protection price, like grain, to relieve cotton farmers' worries."

Gu Jianquan, vice president of the Provincial Academy of Social Sciences, suggested that under the conditions of market economy, the government should withdraw from the information prediction work of similar agricultural products and let the research intermediary do it, so as to remove administrative color and the results obtained are closer to the market.