In 2010,

Next, we will first analyze the average purchase amount of raw materials in Shengze index.

從曲線走勢可以看出，10年1月份，盛澤紡織企業(yè)的平均原材料購入金額就在09年底的基礎(chǔ)上繼續(xù)增長了13.34%，這主要是因為企業(yè)年前原料儲備，保證年后生產(chǎn)銷售的穩(wěn)定性;2月份，受春節(jié)假期影響，企業(yè)開機率普遍不高，平均原材料購入金額出現(xiàn)大幅下行的局面，降幅達到12.35%; 從3月份開始，盛澤紡織企業(yè)銷售迅速進入狀態(tài)，平均原材料購入金額同比2月份上漲了7.7%;4月份，由于原材料價格的持續(xù)上漲，企業(yè)的平均原材料購入金額也隨之增長，與3月份相比，漲幅為48.87%;5月份，企業(yè)平均原材料購入金額一改3、4月份的大幅上移態(tài)勢，同比4月份下降了13.87%，這在10年的紡織原材料市場上是少見的幾次，好景不長， 6月份，盛澤企業(yè)平均原材料購入金額同比5月份再次上漲2.25%，比去年同期上漲了8.2%;7月份，盛澤企業(yè)平均原材料購入金額同比6月繼續(xù)上漲5.87%，不過，比去年同

Lower, the decline is 12.81%, mainly due to the continuous rise of market raw material prices in August, the procurement of enterprises is slightly more cautious, more in accordance with the textile order demand for procurement; in September, the average raw material purchase amount of enterprises in Shengze rebounded again in August, up 16.34% in October, and 9.94% in October, and the rate of raw material rose to the highest point, up to 49.4%. Raw materials after a year of crazy rise, downstream fabric enterprises and terminal garment processing enterprises finally could not bear the unreasonable raw material costs. The weaving factories and terminal processing factories had already stopped the fabric trade. At that time, it was announced that the raw material prices of 2010 had ended. The period dropped by 1.96%; in August, the average purchase amount of raw materials in Shengze enterprises was somewhat higher.

Let's analyze the reasons for the rise of textile raw materials in 2010:

First, the price of raw materials for upstream chemical fiber is rising.

In 2010, the price of chemical fiber raw materials such as PTA and MEG kept rising with the rise of international crude oil prices, and the production cost of chemical fiber yarn increased.

Two, the imbalance between supply and demand of cotton leads to price increases.

In the first two years, because of the low cotton price, the confidence of cotton growers has been frustrated and the planting area has been reduced. On the other hand, the main cotton producing areas such as Xinjiang have been cut down by the impact of climate disasters. On the international market, cotton exporting countries such as India have stopped exporting to the outside world. This series of factors have caused the imbalance of supply and demand in the cotton market, resulting in the soaring cotton prices.

Three, the surge in demand for textiles has led to a rise in raw material prices.

In 2010, the shortage of fabrics in Shengze market was very serious. Especially in the first half of the year, according to past sales habits, the first half of the year, foreign trade orders should be a lot. Domestic orders were more concentrated in the second half of the year. They should be complementary to each other. The supply of goods was not intense. However, in the first half of this year, because of the news of RMB appreciation, many merchants in order to avoid losses caused by appreciation, there was a wave of rush to grab goods, and the supply of fabric made in factories was in short supply, and the price of raw materials increased.

Four, social capital speculation is the culprit.

In 2010, the bull market in China's stock market was not rising, and the ups and downs of the stock market made them feel that the risks were increasing. Meanwhile, with the soaring prices of property markets across the country, the new policies of the national real estate were continuously promulgated, which was more severe than the others.

To sum up, every change in textile raw materials affects the whole textile industry chain. The serious consequences of such a raw material boom in 10 years are the large loss of orders in the downstream weaving enterprises, the forced closure of the weaving factories, and the unemployment of the workers. The cost of each garment produced by garment processing enterprises at least increases by 10 yuan. Since November, the wholesale price of clothing has increased by 2 to 4 yuan / pieces, which eventually leads to the reduction of the consumer's consumption ability and the unsalable clothing, which in turn affects the subsequent production and sales of the upstream industrial chain. Therefore, only by maintaining healthy production and operation activities can the textile industry develop healthfully.