< p > orthodox technical analysis is unpredicted.

It belongs to the category of statistics, giving only a < a href= "http://news.sjfzxm.com/news/list.aspx? Classid=101112107105 > probability analysis < /a >.

That is to say, technical indicators can only give us a buying and selling signal.

< /p >

< p > technical indicators from a large perspective.

The key to using technical indicators is to find technical indicators suitable for analysis scale in a specific market, or to find market scale suitable for certain indicators.

< /p >

< p > technical analysis is to say, choose the scale, take the stage! Choose the scale with obvious characteristics, and assume the risk of the opposite characteristics within the small range. This is the reason why technical analysis will inevitably have "defects", and this "defect" is inevitable. < /p >

< p > that is to say that any technical indicators are congenital "defects". Maybe the problem is here: shareholders can not tolerate the "flaw" of technical indicators, they always try to pursue perfection! Maybe everyone is getting farther and farther away from success in this pursuit of perfection. They always think of "better", "better" and "more perfect".

When a stockholder sells stocks through a certain technical index, it has a distance of 20% from the highest point.

Then he began to play the game of adjusting parameters, and when he sent out a false signal, he began playing the game of modifying parameters.

He does not understand that (adjustment sensitivity) there will be a loss. Even some investors will completely negate the value of such technical indicators after several false signals.

So as to completely abandon this indicator, and to find more perfect indicators! < /p >

< p > perhaps human nature is the pursuit of perfection.

Of course, technical analysts are no longer struggling in the strange circles. They start to pursue perfection in other ways.

They began to search for more sampling features to expand the idea of technical indicators analysis.

Some join the volume, some add time and space, and some even begin to graft different technical indicators to achieve higher accuracy.

There are so many strange indicators that I have never seen before.

< /p >

< p > I do not mean that the high sampling technology index can not improve the accuracy of the analysis.

But the more precise indicators, the worse the stability! Time goes by, and the market changes slightly. This technical index will be eliminated by the market! Maybe this kind of elimination happens in the stage of index research and development. Einstein said that there must be uncertainty in the formula that can predict the future!!! /p.

< p > no one can cultivate invincible technical indicators, but only allows you to live forever in the contradictions of time. The more indicators of analysis, the more opportunities for contradictions, and when you get a benefit, it is inevitable to absorb the disadvantages! < /p >

< p > the reasons for the failure of many investors: < /p >

< p > 1, knowing the trend, but there is no reasonable capital management.

< /p >

< p > two is the wrong position of intervention or the technology of stop loss is not high, plus unscientific capital management, the final result is a huge loss.

< /p >

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＜p＞　　三，很多人對(duì)形態(tài)，資金流量，主力成本(注意，認(rèn)識(shí)這些需要相當(dāng)高的水平)，但最終操作下來怎么又不賺錢呢?因?yàn)閷?duì)概率認(rèn)識(shí)不夠，市場(chǎng)沒絕對(duì)，我是指各種形態(tài)的主力進(jìn)駐股，我們認(rèn)識(shí)這一切股票，心里的認(rèn)識(shí)是什么，我的認(rèn)識(shí)是百分之五十成功率足矣!也就是說，一年我做二十只股，我是允許十只是我看錯(cuò)了的，因?yàn)槲也皇敲總€(gè)主力的朋友，所以必定會(huì)有看錯(cuò)的，盡管換手和量能是一個(gè)很重要的看準(zhǔn)指標(biāo)，但同樣，在最精確的符合各條件必漲股也會(huì)隨投資機(jī)會(huì)或投資產(chǎn)業(yè)的變化而被主力所棄，當(dāng)一個(gè)主力開始拋棄的時(shí)候，這只股被判了死刑，這只股我們看到能漲一倍，當(dāng)出現(xiàn)相反動(dòng)態(tài)時(shí)，也就能跌一倍了，那么概率究竟是什么呢?也就是你的任何一次操作都要面對(duì)失敗的準(zhǔn)備，而面對(duì)失敗要考慮的一個(gè)因素就是止損成本!比如，我看好的一種＜a href="htt

p://news.sjfzxm.com/news/list.aspx?Classid=101112107107"＞操盤形態(tài)＜/a＞，一年肯定會(huì)出現(xiàn)三只左右，這種形態(tài)肯定會(huì)有一只翻翻，那么我們假設(shè)資金是十萬，出現(xiàn)這種個(gè)股的時(shí)候，我們每只介入三萬三，每只的介入點(diǎn)不可追漲，這樣止損成本會(huì)太高，試想一只個(gè)股你如果在箱體上方介入，但主力跟你開了個(gè)玩笑，隨后拋棄了這只個(gè)股，那么到你的箱體底部最極限止損位我估計(jì)怎么也得百分之二十，所以這樣你的止損成本太高，盡管你賺的錢也不少，但是這樣的止損會(huì)讓你忙碌而沒有收獲的!(注意我所說的箱體只是隨便說的一種形態(tài)，當(dāng)然象＜a href="http://news.sjfzxm.com/news/list.aspx?Classid=101112107108"＞三角收斂＜/a＞，象平臺(tái)振倉(cāng)，象均線擴(kuò)散，象純粹等待，象年線密碼等等很多形態(tài)都同樣適用于止損成本)那么你的每只止損成本在百分之五到百分之十之間，試想三只有兩只最終止損

Out of the game, then a loss of 6600 yuan, and you finally succeed in this profit may reach thirty thousand yuan, then you one hundred thousand yuan in this form of profit in this year is more than 20 percent, all of these operations have a previous problem, clear stop loss, and must stop the loss, if you haven't learned to stop, then the market welcomes you, because the market needs such a person, for the main force is the gospel! The above analysis is a typical capital management, the success probability plus stop loss cost generally discussed.

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