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Russia And Ukraine Dispute Is Not Flat Data Short-Term Dominance

2014/5/12 18:28:00 17

Exchange RateForeign Exchange And Economic Situation

Yellen P spoke flat last week. The GDP data in the first quarter were significantly deviated from the non-agricultural performance, and the Fed's monetary policy prospects were uncertain.

Lockhart believes that the first quarter GDP weakness in the US is only a temporary phenomenon and is optimistic about the two quarter's economic growth prospects.

In his subsequent speech, Fisher said that under the background of controllable inflation, the Fed will continue to maintain ultra-low interest rates.

< /p >


P, Europe, Delaki's speech last week suggested that the start of June was lax, and the situation in Ukraine deteriorated further after the referendum.

The internal economic data in the euro area are not good enough. The divergence between Germany and France on the euro exchange rate is gradually expanding. The implementation of the ECB monetary policy will face many difficulties in the future.

< /p >


< p > Australia's employment market data improve the internal environment of Australia comprehensively. Uneven industrial output indicators in the UK pose a hidden danger for the sterling market.

Data show that the UK industrial output rate fell 0.1% in March, an annual rate of 2.3%, less than expected.

However, the manufacturing data released during the same period were all good, and the daily line of the pound was cloudy and cloudy.

< /p >


< p > foreign exchange: last Friday, the US dollar index showed a downward trend. The individual currencies were expressed as follows: < /p >


< p > strong > Euro > a href= "//m.pmae.cn/news/index_cj.asp" > US dollar < /a > /strong > /p >


< p > the overall acceleration of callbacks is 1.3840 and 1.3840 respectively.

Ukraine's geopolitical risks expanded further after the referendum in the East. The market risk aversion enlarged the domestic economic data of the United States, and the US dollar index rebounded. Delaki's interest rate hinted that the euro accelerated downward.

Concerned about the European Central Bank's dynamics and European debt volatility, the support level is 1.3680, and resistance is 1.3850.

< /p >


< p > forecast: the euro is weaker than the US dollar.

< /p >


< p > < strong > < a > href= > //m.pmae.cn/news/index_cj.asp > > pound > /a > dollar > /strong > /p >


< p > overall continuous downward, high visibility 1.6940, low see 1.6830.

The Bank of England kept its monetary policy stable on schedule. Delaki's speech made the euro plummeted, and the pound crossed the curve. However, the US dollar index was rebounded sharply by short back. The pound fell three consecutive trading days and fell below 1.6850.

Concerned about the change of European and American stock market, the support level is 1.6800 and the resistance level is 1.3920.

< /p >


< p > forecast: the pound and the US dollar have the possibility of overall adjustment.

< /p >


< p > < strong > < a > href= > //m.pmae.cn/news/index_cj.asp > > Gold > /a > /strong > /p >


< p > overall shake down, high visibility 1294.40, low see 1285.14.

The situation in eastern Ukraine has deteriorated further. The confrontation between Europe and the United States has become tense. However, the European currency plunged last week to accelerate the rebound of the US index. The rebound in the international gold price has been hampered and failed to break through the 1300 mark.

Concerned about the economic data and the situation in Ukraine, the support level is 1270 and the resistance level is 1320.

< /p >


< p > forecast: the international gold price moderate callback possibility is bigger, the short range fluctuation interval maintains between 1270-1320.

< /p >

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