< p > first concerns the economy: the Federal Reserve. There is no doubt that the Fed's monetary policy has great influence on the global economic structure. As the largest monetary system in the world, every move of the Fed affects the nerves of market investors. < /p >
< p > 2014, the a href= "http://m.pmae.cn/news/index_cj.asp" > the Fed's < /a > monetary policy is clearer, and investors have fewer doubts about the gradual withdrawal of QE policy: withdrawing from QE in the year; and raising interest rates at the end of the first quarter of 2014. < /p >
< p > especially in the second place, the market is more aware. At present, the Federal Reserve is following two major indicators: < a href= "http://m.pmae.cn/news/index_cj.asp" > inflation < /a > and employment. The reason is that when QE is in the process of implementation and exit, there are two problems which are the first to show and the least desirable problems are employment and inflation, especially worry about stagflation. < /p >
At present, the performance of the unemployment rate in the past six months, or real estate data, ISM manufacturing index and consumer confidence index has improved significantly. < p > < /p >
< p > > therefore, the expectation of the market is that the Federal Reserve "a href=" //m.pmae.cn/news/index_cj.asp "plus interest rate < /a" is beginning to approach. Against this background, the US dollar points out that it has begun to move out of the regular finishing interval: < /p >
< p > from the US dollar index daily line level trend, the white trend line above, the US dollar index has three adjustment cycles, and the current adjustment cycle is the longest. Every time we go out of the elliptical adjustment interval, we need to experience a faster rebound, out of the 81.50 key points, and the bull market of the US dollar index will start. < /p >
< p > from the current euro, the euro has experienced a more obvious 2 wave of bull market relay. In May, it broke through the second wave bull market's relay mode arrangement. Once the trend is formed, it is hard to reverse. The reversal needs more obvious policy cooperation. < /p >
In the short term, the middle and long term bear market in the euro has started to start. In the short term, the euro has gradually received resistance from below, and the following 1.3500 important points are concerned. The euro is expected to rebound in a short period of time at this point. P < /p >
< p > from the daily line level of gold, the adjustment in May has gone out, 1273 has broken through, and 1241 has been rebounded by support. Recently, the price of gold has gradually picked up and began to test again 1273 of the kinetic energy. It is expected to continue downward after the test run down, and the target will be 1237. /p.