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Spinning Machine Situation Is Difficult To Reverse In The Short Term, But There Is Still Room For Improvement.

2009/2/5 0:00:00 33

Textile machinery industry is difficult to materiality reversal in the short term.

     

There are two prerequisites for inversion.

      一是紡織行業(yè)需求回暖,利潤空間回升,企業(yè)訂單增加,因此提升企業(yè)購買設(shè)備的主動意愿;

      二是紡織企業(yè)資金壓力緩解,有能力投資購買設(shè)備。從目前來看,上述條件均不具備,所以短期內(nèi)紡織機械難以出現(xiàn)實質(zhì)性反轉(zhuǎn)。

Since last year, the textile industry has entered a period of deep adjustment under the pressure of slowing demand, rising costs and tight funds, and has also accelerated the pace of elimination of backward production capacity.

A large number of small and medium-sized enterprises have closed down, and large enterprises have also slowed down the pace of technological pformation due to tight funds and declining profits.

In all respects, the process is still not over, so the demand for textile machinery is unlikely to reverse in the near future.

Recently, the Chinese government raised the textile export tax rebate by two percentage points.

We believe that the positive impact of the policy on the textile machinery industry is very limited.

First of all, when the external demand is still weak, it is difficult for textile enterprises to convert the tax rebate into profits completely, and it is very likely that they will be forced to cut some profits in exchange for the market.

Secondly, even if the tax rebate can increase the profits of textile enterprises, there will still be a lag in the formation of the purchasing power of the equipment.

Moreover, in the case of no obvious improvement in demand, a small increase in profit margins is difficult for textile companies to substantially increase investment.

Recently, the textile industry generally expects that the government will relax its credit control over small and medium-sized enterprises, and textile enterprises will be the key support objects.

But extending to the impact of textile machinery, we think there is still greater uncertainty.

It is mainly reflected in the following aspects: first, the time of policy implementation and final implementation is uncertain; two, whether banks can strictly enforce policies and lend loans to SMEs are uncertain; three, even if SMEs get loans, the positive impact on textile machinery has a certain lag.

Therefore, the textile machinery industry in the near future is not clear about the situation.

But we believe that from the perspective of the industry, the textile machinery industry still has the opportunity to pform the downstream industries. The demand for technological pformation and capacity expansion still exists in 2007, and this demand will be released when the market improves.

Editor: vivi

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