2010年一季度，全球經(jīng)濟(jì)形勢仍難以明朗。美國、歐盟的失業(yè)率繼續(xù)保持在10%左右。特別是歐盟國家的主權(quán)債務(wù)問題，其引發(fā)歐洲新一輪危機(jī)的潛在風(fēng)險日益引起關(guān)注。

At present, developing countries are facing the pressure of inflation. India, Brazil and other countries have adopted the policy of tightening interest rates, which has increased the uncertainty of economic development.

Under such circumstances, the trend of trade protectionism is increasing in the world.

China is originally the biggest victim of trade protectionism, and the low value-added problem is the impact of exports of light industrial products.

According to customs statistics, the export volume of leather industry increased by 14.3% in the first quarter of 2010 compared with the same period in 2009, but the number of leather shoes products increased by only 3.8%.

This is directly related to the trade protection measures implemented by the European Union and some parts of the Americas since 2009.

For a long time to come, light industrial products may face more international trade disputes.

Therefore, the export situation of leather products in 2010 should not be overly optimistic.

In the first quarter of 2010, the export volume of leather products in China showed a decreasing trend from month to month, and the export volume in March was even lower than that in the same period in 2009.

Whether the export of leather products will gradually rebound will change in the two quarter.

Meanwhile, the import volume of leather products in March 2010 has reached a new high for the past three years, of which raw material leather has increased by 38.5% over the same period.

A large number of imported raw leather and semi processed leather for reprocessing can be digested in the short term when the external demand is weakened. In the first quarter, the "low and high" trade of leather products in China in the first quarter is a problem that the managers of enterprises and industries should pay attention to in the first quarter.

Under the backdrop of slow international economic recovery, leather enterprises should also face the problems of rising operating costs, greater pressure on RMB appreciation, higher wage growth rate and higher labor productivity.

Therefore, I think leather enterprises should pay more attention to the current implementation of moderately tight monetary policy in China, and pay close attention to the possibility of further adjustment of policies.

Due to the existence of many uncertainties, it is suggested that enterprises retain part of their profits and not easily expand production scale in the short term.