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At Present, China'S Textile Industry Is A Declining Industry In A Strict Sense.

2014/7/24 18:01:00 50

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Textile Industry Declining Industry Market Quotation

the factors that affect industrial development are: 1) demand factors, such as investment structure and personal consumption demand; 2) supply factors, such as natural resources, human resources, capital supply, production technology system, and so on; 3) foreign trade factors, such as import and export trade, international technology spanfer, and so on; 4) economic system factors and environmental factors. 
＜p＞　　產(chǎn)業(yè)＜a href="http://?m.pmae.cn/news/index_c.asp"＞生命周期＜/a＞曲線是產(chǎn)品生命周期曲線的包絡(luò)線，通常情況下產(chǎn)業(yè)生命周期分為四個階段，各階段具備不同的特征：1)導(dǎo)入期，企業(yè)數(shù)量少，集中程度高;技術(shù)不成熟，產(chǎn)品品種單一，質(zhì)量較低且不穩(wěn)定;市場規(guī)模狹小，需求增長緩慢，需求的價格彈性也很小;產(chǎn)業(yè)利潤微薄甚至全產(chǎn)業(yè)虧損;進(jìn)入壁壘低，競爭程度較弱，產(chǎn)品定價各自為政;2)成長期：大量廠商進(jìn)入，產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)部集中程度低;生產(chǎn)技術(shù)日漸成熟和穩(wěn)定，產(chǎn)品呈現(xiàn)多樣化、差別化，質(zhì)量提高且穩(wěn)定;市場規(guī)模增大，需求增長迅速，需求的價格彈性也增大;產(chǎn)業(yè)利潤迅速增長且利潤率較高;進(jìn)入壁壘低，內(nèi)部競爭壓力大，競爭形式主要表現(xiàn)為價格競爭;3)成熟期：產(chǎn)業(yè)集中程度高，出現(xiàn)了一定程度的壟斷;＜a href="http://?m.pmae.cn/news/index_c.asp"＞技術(shù)＜/a＞較成熟， Product differentiation, product quality is higher, the growth rate of market demand slows down obviously, the price elasticity of demand decreases, the profit of the industry reaches a very high level, the entry barrier is high, mainly manifests as the scale barrier, the competition means turns to the non price method; the longer duration is the stable stage of the industrial development; if there is technological innovation, there will be a longer sustained growth; 4) in the recession period: the number of manufacturers is decreasing; the demand is decreasing gradually; the sales are decreasing; the profits are decreasing; the new products and substitutes are appearing in large numbers, and the competitiveness of the original industry is decreasing. 
 for the general < a href= "http:// m.pmae.cn/news/index_c.asp" > industry < /a >, its life cycle can be divided into germination stage, growth stage, maturity stage and recession stage. From the perspective of industrial growth, it can be divided into seven sub industrial stages: (1) young industry: in the initial stage of development, because the scale of production is too small, the cost is too high, and the technology is immature, it can not enjoy the advantages of economies of scale and lack of international competitiveness; (2) emerging industries: the industry is in the stage of growth, showing that the overall market demand of the industry is not large, but the growth rate is very fast. Even if the proportion of the industrial structure in a short period is very small, it will have a greater effect on the whole industrial structure from a longer period of time. (3) sunrise industry: the further development of new industries, the continuous maturity of technology, the continuous decline of average cost, the continuous expansion of industrial scale and the increasing demand of the market; (4) mature industries: showing a growth slowdown and a relatively stable proportion in the whole industrial structure system. Becoming a pillar industry is a symbol of the emerging industry entering a mature stage; (5) declining industries: due to the gradual aging of technology, the gradual shrinking of market demand and the rising cost of average, the industry of decreasing returns to scale and the declining position and role of the industrial structure in the whole industrial structure; (6) sunset industry: declining industries will continue to decline, unable to get the support from the government, and there is no major breakthrough in technology to reform the original technological conditions and to withdraw from the market industry or industrial cluster; (7) the elimination industry: the industry that has withdrawn from the market due to the aging of technology, shrinking demand, rising costs, rising costs and long-term losses. 
＜p＞　　通過梳理紡織業(yè)的發(fā)展歷史，2004年是我國紡織業(yè)發(fā)展的頂峰階段，自2008年起，紡織行業(yè)的運行環(huán)境出現(xiàn)了較大的變化，(1)從需求端來看，紡織業(yè)作為傳統(tǒng)的出口強(qiáng)勢產(chǎn)業(yè)，近幾年來，隨著以勞動力為代表的生產(chǎn)成本不斷上升，在越南等東南亞低成本國家的分流作用下，出口優(yōu)勢不斷弱化，低端產(chǎn)能面臨轉(zhuǎn)移的大趨勢，從外貿(mào)出口數(shù)據(jù)來看，成衣出口額的增加、化纖和紡織品的進(jìn)口額不斷增長;與之形成對比的是國內(nèi)快速的工業(yè)化帶來城市人口的大量增加，國內(nèi)消費市場快速擴(kuò)大，內(nèi)銷市場更容易進(jìn)入;(2)從供給端來看，目前中國的紡織業(yè)具備更寬泛的紡織品和成衣生產(chǎn)，化纖、家紡、產(chǎn)業(yè)用紡織品也處于快速發(fā)展階段;(3)從行業(yè)的規(guī)模收益來看，紡織業(yè)規(guī)模收益逐漸下降，紡織產(chǎn)業(yè)規(guī)模逐漸縮小并在整個產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)中的地位和作用不斷下降;隨著紡織產(chǎn)品需求 Growth and deceleration, the textile industry investment return rate continues to be lower than the average of various industries, and showing a downward trend. In view of the fact that China's textile industry has gradually reduced its scale returns and gradually reduced its industrial size and its position and role in the entire industrial structure due to rising costs, we believe that the textile industry should be attributed to declining industries in a strict sense.