Real estate regulation Under Housing Market Most of them are still in a "stalemate" state: trading volume has declined, but prices are rising steadily. 100 in November Urban housing The average price is 8487 yuan / square meter, up 0.82% from last month.

According to the Guangzhou daily report, the latest index of China Index Research Institute shows that in November, the average price of housing in 100 cities nationwide was 8487 yuan / square meter, up 0.82% from the previous month, of which 86 cities were rising in price. The cities with higher prices are mainly concentrated in two or three line cities. The highest residential price in November was Shenzhen, which amounted to 24601 yuan / square meter.

Of the ten major cities in the country, the average price of housing in other 9 cities is up to 15407 yuan / sq m, except for Nanjing, which is 0.07% lower than the ring ratio, rising by 0.41%, an increase of 34.29% over the same period. Among them, the biggest increase was Wuhan, with an average price of 7010 yuan per square meter in November, or 1.72%. The biggest increase was Hangzhou, the average price in November was 20564 yuan / square meter, or 43.76%. The average price of Beijing in November was 22348 yuan / square meter, the average price of Shanghai in November was 23333 yuan / square meter, and the average price of Guangzhou in November was 14468 yuan / square meter.

As for the phenomenon of rising house prices, Yang Hongxu, general secretary of the China Research Institute of Yi Ju, said that under the suppression of many policies such as restriction and loan restriction, the market's "compression" is so good. There are two main reasons: first, CPI continues to rise; two, the appreciation of the renminbi is expected to lead to the entry of overseas hot money into the mainland property market, which will affect the effect of regulation and control.

Economist Zhao Xiao said that the basic pattern of supply shortage in housing market has not changed fundamentally, and the pattern of excess liquidity has not changed. The market invisible hand still has the upper hand in the contest with the visible hand of the government. Cao Jianhai, a researcher at the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, said the local government was the main body of the real estate market. It is hard to get the effect of controlling the price of the original subject. He believes that the two regulation is not enough.

Under the control, the rising trend of housing prices is hard to be balanced, and the industry is beginning to worry that the new wave of regulation will not happen again. Ren Zhiqiang, President of Huayuan Group, recently revealed that he was actively lobbying, including Vanke, to take the initiative to reduce prices in recent years to match the policy. He warned that if the housing prices were to go against the policy, it would lead to third more stringent policy controls.

Yang Hongxu said: "in the next few months, if some housing prices in key cities are still rising, the property tax will inevitably be" boots landing. "

Cao Jianhai believes that the government may have prepared the third regulation, and is just waiting for the opportunity, for example, the introduction of property tax. He believes that the current situation, the introduction of property tax measures are likely to increase the tax rate on the basis of the pilot 0.3-0.4. In addition, government departments may further tighten liquidity, such as continuing to raise interest rates.

From December 1st onwards, Beijing and other regions will supervise the sale of pre-sale funds, and the pre-sale funds for commercial housing should all be deposited into the exclusive supervision account for the pre-sale of commercial housing, so as to ensure that the pre-sale funds are given priority to the project construction, and the real estate development enterprises are strictly prohibited from directly selling the pre-sale funds for commercial housing. In this regard, insiders said that if the implementation of capital regulation, in the short term, eligible projects will enter the market early to avoid the new deal, but in the medium term, we can not rule out some late opening small development enterprises or item company will wait for the change of policy direction.